Story, Dale Mexican Politics—STATISTICAL PROJECT • You will be

Story, Dale Mexican Politics—STATISTICAL PROJECT • You will be

Story, Dale
Mexican Politics—STATISTICAL PROJECT
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You will be selecting 6 hypotheses (statement of a relationship between two variables)
from the National Exit Poll for the 2006 Mexican Presidential Election (ICPSR # 24609).
Produce one Cross-Tabs and one Chi-Square Test for each hypothesis and a summary of
results (typically one paragraph for each hypothesis).
You will find the data set at the Inter-University Consortium for Political and Social
Research (ICPSR).
o Select “Find and Analyze Data.”
o Log-in (create new account—upper left-corner) using ICPSR MyData.
o In the “Find Data” search box, type “Mexico Elections” and then select this
particular data set (or simply type 24609 in the Find Data search box).
o Select the hyper-link for “All Dataset Files.” Agree to Terms of Use.
o Save the data.sav, Codebook.pdf, and Questionnaire.pdf files in a separate folder.
These will be the files that you will be utilizing. The data.sav file is the actual
SPSS data file. The Codebook and Questionnaire files are self-descriptive.
In class we reviewed the translations for any Spanish words that were not obvious
(assumption that we all would know that urbano is urban, etc.). But if it you somehow
missed that, here are some of the translations that might not be so obvious. (Please let me
know of any errors or omissions.)
o occidente = west
o sur = south
o de 18 a 24 = between 18 and 24
o algo = some
o poco = little
o nada = none
o muy mala = very bad
o muy buena = very good
o Ns = not applicable
o Por sus ideas y propuestas = their ideas and proposals
o Es honesto = their honesty
o Siempre vota por el mismo partido = I always vote for the same party
o Para cambiar el rumbo del Pais = to change the direction of the nation
o Ayuda la gente = to aid the people
o Para continuar con las politicas del gobierno actua = to continue the policies of
the current government
o Es el que van a ganar = he is going to win
o Es el menos malo = he is less bad
o Por lo que ha heco como gobernante = for what he has done as a politician
o Alguna otra = something else
o Hoy = today
o En la ultima semana = in the last week
o En el ultimo mes = in the last month
o En los ultimos 3 meses = in the last 3 months
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o Desde antes = earlier
o Aprueba = approve
o Mejorado = improved
o Sigue igual = continue at same level
o Empeorado = become worse
o priista = PRI identifier
o panista = PAN identifier
o perredista = PRD identifier
o Otro partido = another party
o Ninguno = none
o Izuierda = left
o Centro = center
o derecha = right
o mas de una vez por semana = more than once a week
o una vez por semana = once a week
o mes = month
o solo en ocasiones especiales = only on special occasions
o nunca = never
o no tiene estudios = no education
o primaria = elementary
o secundaria = middle school
o preparatoria = high school
o usted = you
o alguien de su familia =someone in your family
o patron…empleados = employer…employees
o profesionista = professional
o bajo supervision = under supervision
o maestro(a) = teacher
o negocio establecido = established business
o obrero = manual worker
o vendedor ambulante = street vendor
o trabajadora domestica = domestic worker
o ejidatario = farm owner
o campesino… pescador = peasant…fisherman
o estudiante = student
o ama de casa = housewife
Remember the names of the three major candidates: Calderon (PAN), Lopez Obrador
(PRD), and Madrazo (PRI).
V 22 is: For which party did you vote in the 2003 legislative elections?
Open SPSS and then the data file (data.sav).
Select variables and hypotheses from either the Codebook or the “View” tab in SPSS
CrossTabs and Chi Square. For instructions see SPSS Help. Independent variable on the
“horizontal axis” (columns) and dependent variable on the “vertical axis” (rows). Do not
use more than 4 values per variable. Recode if necessary. See SPSS Help.
Cut and paste your clean (error-free) SPSS output into a Word file. Type you narrative in
that same file. Attach a cover sheet that has your name (last name first), etc. Email to me
(you must use your UTA email) as a separate file before the beginning of the Final Exam.
Your subject line must read: last name (your last name), POLS 3317, Stat Project. Any
project sent one minute (or later) after the beginning of the Final Exam will receive a
deduction of 50 points.