Description and demonstration of CAPRA II (Velasquez, CIMNE)
Transcripción
Description and demonstration of CAPRA II (Velasquez, CIMNE)
23/09/2011 CAPRA CENTRAL AMERICA PROBABILISTIC RISK ASSESSMENT EXPOSURE CHANGES workshop, 22-23 September Stryszawa (Krakow), Poland ERN Evaluación de Riesgos Naturales – América Latina – Risk Analysis Methodology Hazard Physical Damage Loss Estimation Economic Human Vulnerability Exposure Applications Application 1 Application 1 Application 1 Application 1 1 23/09/2011 Important Documents Environmental • Agriculture reports Hydrology • Hurricane reports • Damage assessment reports and tropical depression, Flooding events Risks • Disaster Management plans Infrastructure • Electricity - Annual Reports p and inventories • Health reports Social Aspects • Poverty report • Census • Population and economic information of the country Important Maps and Data Bases Overview of country • Maps of administrative division in the country • Main cities in each province, villages, settlements • Atlantic coastline of the country • Maps of protected areas, natural vegetation, ecosystems and conservation zones. • Maps of geological and geomorphological zones in the country • Maps of basins, lakes and rivers • Maps of the elevation in the country • Maps of soils • Map of land use 2 23/09/2011 Important Maps and Data Bases National infrastructure • Maps of roads and airports • Water reservoir • Power plants • Housing statistics and reports • Data base of impacts caused by hurricanes What do we mean by “Exposure”? Identify and characterize critical assets susceptible of damage 9Urban buildings and infrastructure 9 Rural constructions 9 Regional and national infrastructure 9 Human exposure 3 23/09/2011 Examples of components at Risk Buildings (residential, commercial, industrial, health, education, governmental, etc). Components at Risk Water production, treatment and distribution systems 4 23/09/2011 Components at Risk Communication system (roads, bridges) Minimum Information Required 9 ID 9 Geographic location 9 Construction type for vulnerability classification 9 Exposed economic value 9 Human occupation Format for exposure representation: Î Shape file (polygons, lines, dots) 5 23/09/2011 Resolution at City Level Buildings Blocks Neighborhood UPZ Localities or Towns Resolution at Country Level Country Departments Towns, Localities, Neighborhoods, …… 6 23/09/2011 Detailed Information Available Ideal information at City Level Socio Economic Level Number of stories Cadastral value Detailed Information Available 9 With no information available, how do we generate basic b information? f ? 9 We need: Geographic coordinates Characteristics: size, height, materials, roof, floors, structural type, partitions, photos, others 7 23/09/2011 EXPOSURE MODULE RESOLUTION • Level 1 – Low resolution – Regional based on population indicators • Level 2 – Intermediate – Homegeneous H zones and d indicators i di t • Level 3 – Detailed – Building by building, individual parameters EXPOSURE Level 1 – Regional resolution Country level District level 8 23/09/2011 EXPOSURE Level 1 – Low resolution BUILDINGS DISTRICTS URBAN INFRASTRUCTURE • NATIONAL INFRASTRUCTURE • • Total Population • Working force: Agricultural, Ind., Services, Gove. • Students • Available beds at hospitals • Poverty distribution • • • • • • Water Sewage Electricity Communications Gas Airports: Runwats (km), Const (m2) • Puertos: Piers (m2), Storage (m2) • Urban bridges • • • • • • Main road network (km) Secondary road network (km) Main network bridges Secondary network bridges Electricity generation Energy distribution: EXPOSURE Resolution Level 2 and 3 - CAPRA- InfoPunt- V1.0 - CAPRA- InfoMovil- V1.0 - CAPRA- InfoPolig- V1.0 - CAPRA- InfoLinea- V1.0 9 23/09/2011 EXPOSURE Software tools - CAPRA- InfoPunt- V1.0 EXPOSURE Software tools - CAPRA- InfoMovil- V1.0 10 23/09/2011 EXPOSURE Software tools - CAPRA- InfoMovil- V1.0 EXPOSURE Software tools - CAPRA- InfoPolig- V1.0 11 23/09/2011 EXPOSURE Software tools - CAPRA- InfoPolig- V1.0 EXPOSURE Software tools - CAPRA- InfoPolig- V1.0 12 23/09/2011 EXPOSURE Software tools - CAPRA- InfoPolig- V1.0 EXPOSURE Software tools - CAPRA- InfoPolig- V1.0 13 23/09/2011 EXPOSURE Software tools - CAPRA- InfoPolig- V1.0 EXPOSURE Software tools - CAPRA- InfoPolig- V1.0 14 23/09/2011 EXPOSURE Field format for data gathering FORMATOCARACTERIZACIONTIPOSESTRUTURALES Pais:Peru Ciudad:LimaMetropolitana,CalloyArequipa Fecha:20/08/09 Elaboró:SSC Nombre del Sistema: Adobe (AD) NombredelSistema:Adobe(AD) Fecha:20/08/09 Elaboró:SSC No: 2/2 Fotos Dimen.enplanta(aprox):6x10 Edadaproximada:entre0y30años Sistemaestructural: X Pais:Peru Ciudad:LimaMetropolitana,CalloyArequipa N b d l Si t NombredelSistema:Adobe(AD) Ad b (AD) CaracteristicasGenerales Rangonúmerodepisos:1 Alturatípicadeentrepiso:2.1 FORMATOCARACTERIZACIONTIPOSESTRUTURALES No: 1/2 Material: Pórticosresistentesamomentos Pórticosarriostrados Pórticosymuros Murosestructurales Paneles(prefabricadodeconcreto) Otro:______________________ X Concretoreforzado Acero Madera Adobe Concretoprefabricado Otro:_____________ Diafragmadeentrepiso X Rigido Flexible Cubierta X X X X Placadeconcreto TajadeBarro Tejaasbestocemento Placa Cercha Luzcubierta:2.53m Tejazinc Tejametálica Otra:____________________ Ang.deinclinación:015o Númerodeaguas:0 Estadoyconexiones: Bueno X Regular Malo Esquemas Elementosdominantesdefachada Ladrillo Pañete Prefabricados Flotantesmetálicos Vidrios Murosdivisorios X X Mampostería Madera Prefabricadoconcreto Drywall(similares) Divisioneslivianas Adobeotierra X Madera Adobe Bahareque Otro:_____________ Estadoycalidadfachadas X Bueno Regular Malo Acabdodepisosdominante X Concreto Madera Tabletas Tapete Observaciones Casa de 1 piso con techo flexible , paredes de adobe NSE bajo EXPOSURE Software tools Level 3 - High resolution 15 23/09/2011 EXAMPLES HOMOGENEOUS POLIGONS FOR LEVEL 2 RESOLUTION RESOLUTION HOMOGENEOUS ZONES 16 23/09/2011 RESOLUTION – LEVEL 2 VIRTUAL BUILDING BY BUILDING homogeneous zones General characteristics by zone properties p p Assignment of characteristic according with general information RESOLUTION – LEVEL 2 VIRTUAL BUILDING BY BUILDING 17 23/09/2011 RESOLUTION – LEVEL 2 STRUCTURAL TYPES RESOLUTION – LEVEL 2 NUMBER OF STORIES 18 23/09/2011 RESOLUTION – LEVEL 2 EXPOSED VALUE RESOLUTION – LEVEL 2 HUMAN OCCUPATION 19 23/09/2011 RESOLUTION – LEVEL 1 Examples VIRTUAL CITY 2- D RESOLUTION – LEVEL 1 Examples VIRTUAL CITY 3- D 20 23/09/2011 21