Description and demonstration of CAPRA II (Velasquez, CIMNE)

Transcripción

Description and demonstration of CAPRA II (Velasquez, CIMNE)
23/09/2011
CAPRA
CENTRAL AMERICA PROBABILISTIC RISK ASSESSMENT
EXPOSURE
CHANGES workshop, 22-23 September
Stryszawa (Krakow), Poland
ERN
Evaluación de Riesgos Naturales
– América Latina –
Risk Analysis Methodology
Hazard
Physical
Damage
Loss Estimation
Economic
Human
Vulnerability
Exposure
Applications
Application 1
Application 1
Application 1
Application 1
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Important Documents
Environmental
• Agriculture reports
Hydrology
• Hurricane reports
• Damage assessment reports and tropical depression, Flooding events
Risks
• Disaster Management plans
Infrastructure
• Electricity - Annual Reports
p
and inventories
• Health reports
Social Aspects
• Poverty report
• Census
• Population and economic information of the country
Important Maps and Data Bases
Overview of country
• Maps of administrative division in the country
• Main cities in each province, villages, settlements
• Atlantic coastline of the country
• Maps of protected areas, natural vegetation,
ecosystems and conservation zones.
• Maps of geological and geomorphological zones
in the country
• Maps of basins, lakes and rivers
• Maps of the elevation in the country
• Maps of soils
• Map of land use
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Important Maps and Data Bases
National infrastructure
• Maps of roads and airports
• Water reservoir
• Power plants
• Housing statistics and reports
• Data base of impacts caused by hurricanes
What do we mean by “Exposure”?
Identify and characterize critical assets susceptible of
damage
9Urban buildings and infrastructure
9 Rural constructions
9 Regional and national infrastructure
9 Human exposure
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Examples of components at Risk
Buildings
(residential, commercial, industrial, health,
education, governmental, etc).
Components at Risk
Water production, treatment and distribution systems
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Components at Risk
Communication system (roads, bridges)
Minimum Information Required
9 ID
9 Geographic location
9 Construction type for vulnerability classification
9 Exposed economic value
9 Human occupation
Format for exposure representation:
Î Shape file (polygons, lines, dots)
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Resolution at City Level
Buildings
Blocks
Neighborhood
UPZ
Localities
or Towns
Resolution at Country Level
Country
Departments
Towns, Localities, Neighborhoods, ……
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Detailed Information Available
Ideal information at City Level
Socio Economic Level
Number of stories
Cadastral value
Detailed Information Available
9 With no information available, how do
we generate basic
b
information?
f
?
9 We need:
ƒ Geographic coordinates
ƒ Characteristics: size, height, materials, roof,
floors, structural type, partitions, photos,
others
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EXPOSURE MODULE
RESOLUTION
• Level 1 – Low resolution
– Regional based on population indicators
• Level 2 – Intermediate
– Homegeneous
H
zones and
d indicators
i di t
• Level 3 – Detailed
– Building by building, individual parameters
EXPOSURE
Level 1 – Regional resolution
Country level
District level
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EXPOSURE
Level 1 – Low resolution
BUILDINGS
DISTRICTS
URBAN
INFRASTRUCTURE
•
NATIONAL
INFRASTRUCTURE
•
• Total Population
• Working force:
Agricultural, Ind., Services, Gove.
• Students
• Available beds at hospitals
• Poverty distribution
•
•
•
•
•
•
Water
Sewage
Electricity
Communications
Gas
Airports:
Runwats (km), Const (m2)
• Puertos:
Piers (m2), Storage (m2)
• Urban bridges
•
•
•
•
•
•
Main road network (km)
Secondary road network (km)
Main network bridges
Secondary network bridges
Electricity generation
Energy distribution:
EXPOSURE
Resolution Level 2 and 3
- CAPRA- InfoPunt- V1.0
- CAPRA- InfoMovil- V1.0
- CAPRA- InfoPolig- V1.0
- CAPRA- InfoLinea- V1.0
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EXPOSURE
Software tools
- CAPRA- InfoPunt- V1.0
EXPOSURE
Software tools
- CAPRA- InfoMovil- V1.0
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EXPOSURE
Software tools
- CAPRA- InfoMovil- V1.0
EXPOSURE
Software tools
- CAPRA- InfoPolig- V1.0
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EXPOSURE
Software tools
- CAPRA- InfoPolig- V1.0
EXPOSURE
Software tools
- CAPRA- InfoPolig- V1.0
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EXPOSURE
Software tools
- CAPRA- InfoPolig- V1.0
EXPOSURE
Software tools
- CAPRA- InfoPolig- V1.0
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EXPOSURE
Software tools
- CAPRA- InfoPolig- V1.0
EXPOSURE
Software tools
- CAPRA- InfoPolig- V1.0
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EXPOSURE
Field format for data gathering
FORMATOCARACTERIZACIONTIPOSESTRUTURALES
Pais:Peru
Ciudad:LimaMetropolitana,CalloyArequipa
Fecha:20/08/09
Elaboró:SSC
Nombre del Sistema: Adobe (AD)
NombredelSistema:Adobe(AD)
Fecha:20/08/09
Elaboró:SSC
No:
2/2
Fotos
Dimen.enplanta(aprox):6x10
Edadaproximada:entre0y30años
Sistemaestructural:
X
Pais:Peru
Ciudad:LimaMetropolitana,CalloyArequipa
N b d l Si t
NombredelSistema:Adobe(AD)
Ad b (AD)
CaracteristicasGenerales
Rangonúmerodepisos:1
Alturatípicadeentrepiso:2.1
FORMATOCARACTERIZACIONTIPOSESTRUTURALES
No:
1/2
Material:
Pórticosresistentesamomentos
Pórticosarriostrados
Pórticosymuros
Murosestructurales
Paneles(prefabricadodeconcreto)
Otro:______________________
X
Concretoreforzado
Acero
Madera
Adobe
Concretoprefabricado
Otro:_____________
Diafragmadeentrepiso
X
Rigido
Flexible
Cubierta
X
X
X
X
Placadeconcreto
TajadeBarro
Tejaasbestocemento
Placa
Cercha
Luzcubierta:2.53m
Tejazinc
Tejametálica
Otra:____________________
Ang.deinclinación:015o
Númerodeaguas:0
Estadoyconexiones:
Bueno
X Regular
Malo
Esquemas
Elementosdominantesdefachada
Ladrillo
Pañete
Prefabricados
Flotantesmetálicos
Vidrios
Murosdivisorios
X
X
Mampostería
Madera
Prefabricadoconcreto
Drywall(similares)
Divisioneslivianas
Adobeotierra
X
Madera
Adobe
Bahareque
Otro:_____________
Estadoycalidadfachadas
X
Bueno
Regular
Malo
Acabdodepisosdominante
X
Concreto
Madera
Tabletas
Tapete
Observaciones
Casa de 1 piso con techo flexible , paredes de adobe NSE bajo
EXPOSURE
Software tools
Level 3 - High resolution
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EXAMPLES
HOMOGENEOUS POLIGONS FOR LEVEL 2 RESOLUTION
RESOLUTION
HOMOGENEOUS ZONES
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RESOLUTION – LEVEL 2
VIRTUAL BUILDING BY BUILDING
homogeneous zones
General
characteristics by
zone
properties
p
p
Assignment of
characteristic
according with general
information
RESOLUTION – LEVEL 2
VIRTUAL BUILDING BY BUILDING
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RESOLUTION – LEVEL 2
STRUCTURAL TYPES
RESOLUTION – LEVEL 2
NUMBER OF STORIES
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RESOLUTION – LEVEL 2
EXPOSED VALUE
RESOLUTION – LEVEL 2
HUMAN OCCUPATION
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RESOLUTION – LEVEL 1
Examples
VIRTUAL CITY 2- D
RESOLUTION – LEVEL 1
Examples
VIRTUAL CITY 3- D
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