Diapositiva 1 - Canacintra | Puebla

2
3
4
14th
2013
World’s largest economies
Gross Domestic Product
(billion dollars)
Source: IMF, 2013.
5
Manufactures
Oil
Primary
Inflation
160%
$400
140%
$350
120%
$300
100%
$250
2013*
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
$0
2007
0%
2006
$50
2005
20%
2004
$100
2003
40%
2002
$150
2001
60%
2000
Percentage of inflation
80%
Billion dollars
Reserve record: 176 billion dollars
$200
6
Source: INEGI / Bank of Mexico.
35,000
30,000
Record-high
28,233
25,000
20,000
15,453
15,000
10,000
5,000
-
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013*
7
Source: Ministry of Economy. General Directorate of Foreign Investment.
30,000
25,597
25,000
Record-high
20,000
15,045
15,000
12,139
10,000
8,464
8,256
6,474
5,000
363
5,758
4,432
4,404
891
1,253
1,157
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Source: UNCTAD
8
* Scores that are below the dotted line are investments with high degree of risk or speculation.
Source: Fitch Ratings, Standar & Poor’s Rating Services, Moody’s Investor Service.
9
10
45
Number of countries
*
20
17
12
8
1
Sources: Brazil; China: Colombia:; United States: ; Chile: Direcon; Mexico: Ministry of Economy.
11
Fuente:Sea Rates
12
•
•
•
•
•
Monterrey
Altamira
SLP
Tampico
Guanajuato
Guadalajara
Veracruz
Manzanillo
Lázaro
Cárdenas
Source: SCT.
13
•
•
•
Fuentes: SCT/ US Department of Transportation.
14
•
•
•
•
•
•
15
•
•
•
•
16
NAFTA: +$103.8 bn USD
EUROPEAN UNION: -$18.8 bn USD
ASIA: -$96.3 bn USD
LATAM: +$12.9 bn USD
OTHERS*: -$1.4 bn USD
*Includes Africa, Oceania and other European countries
Source: 2012 Data. Mexico’s Central Bank and Global Trade Atlas.
17
18
Mexico’s demographic bonus
Mexico’s population pyramid (2030)*
Male
Female
 118 million inhabitants with a median of 27 years.
 52 million in the labor force.
 According to forecasts, there will be more than 83 million people of
productive age by 2020.
Source: US Census Bureau: http://www.census.gov/population/international/data/idb/informationGateway.php ; INEGI, 2011; Population Projections for
Mexico 2005-2050, CONAPO. *Population (in millions) by age group.
19
140
2,500
135
2,000
130
125
1,500
120
115
1,000
SA/ Seasonally adjusted figures
Historic
Histórico
2016
2014
2012
2010
2008
2006
2004
2002
2000
1998
0
1996
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
95
1994
100
500
1992
105
1990
Billion USD
110
Forecasts
Pronóstico
•
•
Source: INEGI/ IMF.
20
21
6.02
5.85
5.73
5.18
4.83
4.44
3.80
-
Source: IMD Competitiveness Yearbook, 2012
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
22
23
24
Source: Competitive Alternatives 2012, KPMG; Global Benchmark Report 2011, of the Danish Industry Confederation;
Manufacturing Outsourcing Cost Index 2010, Alix Partners.
Japan
-0.1% -3.7% -9.4%
Australia
0%
Germany
2.1%
Italy
France
Canadá
Netherlands
UK
5.5% 5.3% 5.0%
3.9%
USA
Baseline
21.0%
Mexico
The most
competitive
country in terms
of costs and
taxes, according
to Global
Benchmark
Report 2011.
According to KPMG, in 2011
Mexico had an average cost
advantage of 21% (over 19
industries), compared to the US.
% cost advantage relative to the US
The Alix Partners
Manufacturing
Outsourcing Cost
Index ranks
Mexico as the
best country
(better than
BRIC’s).
25
•
•
•
Source: INEGI/ Presidency/ Harvard and MIT, Atlas of Economic Complexity/ OECD.
26
Medium and HighTech Exports
as a percentage of GDP (2011)
No.
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
Country
South Korea
Germany
Mexico
China
France
Italy
United Kingdom
Japan
Canada
Turkey
South Africa
United States
India
Indonesia
Argentina
% GDP
30.4%
28.1%
17.2%
15.0%
13.2%
12.9%
11.1%
9.9%
7.3%
7.0%
5.8%
5.1%
4.5%
4.1%
3.7%
Medium Technology (MT):
• Specialty Chemicals
• Machinery, Equipment, Appliance
• Electrical Industrial Machinery
• Motor Vehicles & Parts Total
• Motorcycles & Transport. Equipment
• Railroads & Equipment
High Technology (HT):
• Aircraft & Spacecraft
• Advanced materials
• Computers & Office Machinery
• Communication Equipment
• Medical, Precision & Optical
27
Source: IHS Data – Global Insight; ProMéxico’s Analysis. Data in USD Real terms, 2005, considering de G20 countries.
AEROSPACE
• Mexico is the 6th supplier to the
American aerospace industry.
AUTOMOTIVE AND AUTOPARTS
• 8th producer and 4th exporter globally
of new light vehicles in the world.
370 billions in exports
50% medium and high tech
manufactures
MEDICAL DEVICES
• We are the largest exporter in Latin
America and main supplier to the
US.
Source: FEMIA/ GTA/ AMIA/ OICA.
.
ELECTRIC-ELECTRONIC
• Leading flat television screen
exporter in the world.
28
Nissan R&D Center
Skyworks
Mabe
Intel Design Center
Silanes
Honeywell (A350)
Flexible manufacturing (Ford)
Bombardier Learjet 85
3M (San Luis Potosí)
Ericsson (Global Service Center)
GE (Genx turbine)
Bosch
29
30
United States
China
China
United States
Brazil
India
Canada
Indonesia
India
Germany
Australia
7º
Mexico
Germany
Mexico
Thailand
9º
United Kingdom
Singapore
1.6
1.7
Source: A.T. Kearney/UNCTAD.
1.8
1.9
2
2.1
2.2
0
10
20
30
40
50
31
Labor
Energy
Fiscal
DEMOCRATIZATION
OF PRODUCTIVITY
Education
Telecom
Financial
32
2012
World’s largest economies
Gross Domestic Product
(Billion USD)
Corea…
South Korea
México
Mexico
España
Spain
Australia
Australia
Canada
Canadá
India
India
Italy
Italia
Russia
Rusia
Brazil
Brasil
UK
Reino…
France
Francia
Japan
Japón
Germany
Alemania
20501
China
China
USA
EU
Million dollars
14th place
18,000
16,000
14,000
12,000
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
5th place
Goldman Sach’s Forecast
Gross Domestic Product
(Billion USD)
Fuente: Goldman Sachs. The N-11: More Than an Acronym. Documento de economía mundial No: 153. Marzo de 2007/ HSBC/
ACCENTURE.1/ Pronóstico de Goldman Sachs / Fondo Monetario Internacional.
33
34
35
5th country
with
the
largest
movie
attendance.
We rank
first in
creative
industries
in Latin
America,
according
to
UNCTAD.
We have the
largest film
and video
games
market
in Latin
America.
We have the
largest
talent pool
for the IT
and
creative
industry in
Latin
America.
We are building the
Digital Creative City in
Guadalajara, Mexico.
36
SOURCE: CEPAL/ PWC, Global Entertainment and Media Outlook/ UNCTAD, Creative Economy Report 2010.
37
Fuente: PEMEX / EPIA.
Aerospace part manufacture
(US=100)
Japan
Australia
Germani
USA
Italy
United Kingdom
France
Canada
The Netherlands
Brazil
Russia
Mexico
0
20
Cost Index
40
60
80
100
120
• There are 270 aerospace
companies in Mexico.
• In 2012, exports from this sector
exceeded 5 billion dollars.
• Mexico has the second largest fleet
of business jets in the world (after
the US).
• Every two minutes takes-off an
airplane with Mexican technology.
• Mexico is the 6th supplier to the
American aerospace industry.
According to KPMG, aerospace
parts manufacturing costs in
Mexico are approximately 16%
lower than in the United States.
Source: KPMG/ US Census Bureau/ Ministry of Economy/ Bombardier.
38
Ford’s plant in Hermosillo,
Mexico, is the only facility in the
world to produce the new
Fusion model and the Lincoln
MKZ.
 Mexico is the 8th vehicle producer in the
world.
 And the 4th exporter globally of new light
vehicles in the world.
 We export almost three times more than Brazil
and India combined.
 We are a strategic supplier to the North and Latin
American automotive markets.
 In 2011, Mexico was the leading autoparts
supplier to the United States.
 Eleven of every 100 light automobiles sold in the
United States are manufactured in Mexico.
 84 of the top 100 autoparts companies in the world
have production facilities in Mexico.
39
Source: OICA/ Global Trade Atlas/ AMIA/ Ward’s Automotive Reports/ AASA, 2011.
Electronics assembling
(US=100)
Japan
Australia
Germany
USA
Italy
United Kingdom
France
The Netherlands
Canada
Brazil
Russia
Mexico
0
20
Cost Index
40
60
80
100
120
• Mexico is the leading home
appliance exporter in Latin
America.
• And the 6th globally.
• It is the leading flat television screen
exporter in the world.
• The second refrigerator exporter.
• The 4th global exporter of computers.
• 8 of the top 10 transnational electronics
manufacturing services (CM’s) have
operations in Mexico.
According to KPMG, electronics
assembling costs in Mexico are
15% lower than in the United
States.
40
Source: Global Trade Atlas/ KPMG/ Manufacturer Market Insider.
•
Medical devices manufacturing
(US=100)
Japan
Australia
Germany
USA
Italy
Canada
France
The Netherlands
United Kingdom
Brazil
Russia
Mexico
•
•
•
0
20
Cost Index
40
60
80
100
According to KPMG, medical
device manufacturing costs in
Mexico are 23% lower than in the
United States.
120
•
Mexico is the 5th global
exporter of medical
instruments and devices.
We are the largest exporter in the
medical device industry in Latin
America.
The 3rd global exporter of suture
needles in the world.
And the 6th exporter of respiratory
and mechanic therapy equipment in
the world.
Our country is the leading exporter
of orthopedic items and gauzes and
bandages in Latin America.
41
Source: Global Trade Atlas/ KPMG.
• Mexico is the leading exporter of
• Avocado.
• Mango.
Japón
Australia
• Guava.
EU
• Papaya.
Alemania
Canadá
• Processed peppers.
Francia
• Sweetened, powdered cocoa.
Italia
Países Bajos
• Fresh tomato.
Reino Unido
• Beer.
Brasil
México
• And the second exporter of
75.0
80.0
85.0
90.0
95.0
100.0
• Watermelon.
Cost index
• Limes.
• Raspberry, blackberry and mulberry.
According to KPMG, processed
food costs in Mexico are 15%
lower than in the United States.
Food processing
(US=100)
42
Source: Global Trade Atlas/ KPMG.
• According to Behre Dolbear,
in 2013 Mexico was ranked
5th best destination for
investment in mining
projects.
• Mexico is the leading country in Latin
America and the 4th globally in terms
of receiving investments for mining
exploration in nonferrous minerals.
• Mexico is the leading silver producer
and exporter globally.
• The second global fluorite producer
and third bismuth producer.
• The second gold producer in Latin
America.
Fuente: The Silver Institute/ Cámara Minera de México (CAMIMEX)/ Global Trade Atlas/Metals Economics Group/ INEGI.
43
Software development
(US=100)
Japan
Australia
Italy
Germany
USA
France
Brazil
The Netherlands
United Kingdom
Canada
Mexico
0
20
40
60
80
100
Cost Index
According to KPMG, software
development costs in Mexico are
40% lower than in the United
States.
120
• Mexico is the natural IT services
supplier to the Latin and North
American markets
• Mexico is ranked as the best
destination in America for providing
IT services, according to A.T.
Kearney.
• Gartner Consulting ranks Mexico
3rd global IT services supplier.
• Mexico is ranked 2nd investment
destination in Latin America with a
23% share in software projects in
the region.
44
Source: Competitive Alternatives 2012, KPMG/ A.T. Kearney/ Gartner/ CEPAL.
45
ProMéxico
3. Education
2. Inclusiveness
1. Peace
4. Prosperity
México
5. Responsible
global actor
GENDER EQUITY
KEEP GOVERNMENT CLOSE TO PEOPLE
DEMOCRATIZATION OF PRODUCTIVITY
Exports
promotion
Internationalization
FDI
attraction
46
PROMÉXICO
47
Boosts activities aimed to
present an overview of
international business and
trade. It also seeks to
encourage enterprises and
strategic sectors to reach
international markets and
promote the country's
image.
Brings companies together
and link them to private or
public organizations and
academia, among others,
with specific goals that are
usually project-related.
ProMéxico
Assists clients to reach a
specific goal, through
training, personal
assistance or consulting.
Simplifies the execution or
increases the appeal of a
project, whether for export,
FDI or internationalization,
through incentives, studies
or by opening markets.
Development of programs and projects
DCC/ ACT Model/ Softlanding/ Aftercare/ Roadmaps/ Clusters articulation/ MOMA/ PROCEI
48
Global exports (2000-2012)
Data in billion dollars.
20,000
18,000
16,000
14,000
12,000
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
2000
2001
2002
2003
Exp
Mundiales
Global
exports
Source: GTA / Banxico.
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2Mobile
per. media
móvil (Exp Mundiales)
median
49
Total domestic value added share of gross
exports, %
80%
70%
70%
60%
70%
69%
68%
67%
66%
65%
64%
61%
60%
59%
50%
50%
40%
30%
30%
40%
20%
10%
Fuente: USITC/ OCDE.
Singapore
Korea
Czech Republic
The Netherlands
Thailand
Sweden
China
Denmark
Israel
Mexico
0%
50
2
LINKAGE
1
Multinational
company
Multinational
company
3
51
+10 MORE
52
Source: ProMéxico with information provided by main automotive companies.
53
Source: ProMéxico with information provided by main automotive companies.
54
Source: Ministry of Energy.
55
Source: ProMéxico with information provided by main automotive companies.
•
•
•
56
1
5
2
3
4
57
1
5
2
3
4
58
www.promexico.gob.mx
[email protected]
@ProMexicoTW
+52 (55) 54 47 7000
Camino a Santa Teresa 1679,
Col. Jardines del Pedregal
CP 01900, México, D.F.
59
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Última actualización de esta presentación: 14 de enero de 2013.
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60